Somalia Rainfall Forecast – Issued 10 June 2026

The NOAA GFS 7-day rainfall forecast for 9–15 June 2026 (Figure 5) indicates predominantly dry conditions across most of Somalia during the coming week, consistent with the onset of the Hagaa dry inter-season. Dry conditions will dominate across central Somalia, including Galmudug, Mudug, Galgaduud, most of Hiraan, Bakool, and the interior of Bay, Gedo, Middle Juba, and Lower Juba. Light rains of less than 50 mm are likely over central parts of Togdhee and Sanaag and the southern coastal strip — including Lower Juba, Middle Juba coastal margins, Lower Shabelle, and Banadir. The light rainfall of less than 30 mm may occur from Indian Ocean maritime moisture convergence. Dry conditions are expected to prevail across most other parts of the country. Dry conditions are also likely over the nearby catchments of both Juba and Shabelle Rivers — in Ethiopia adjacent to the Somalia border and within Somalia itself. Over the uppermost Ethiopian catchments, light rainfall of less than 50 mm is forecast. These amounts are however insufficient to generate meaningful river recharge within Somalia within the forecast period.