River breakages

Status of River Breakages Along the Shabelle River - Issued Aug 20 2026

The Food and Agriculture Organization's Somalia Water and Land Information Management (FAO SWALIM) Project has completed the analysis and mapping of river breakages along the Shabelle River using very high resolution (VHR) satellite imagery, as of August 2026. Breakages identified in the map have been classified into four categories: River Overflow, Open, Canal Flooding, and Closed with Sandbags. A legend/key for further explanation of the different breakage types is provided. Along the Shabelle River, a total of 388 breakage points have been identified, comprising 150 River Overflow points, 147 Open points, 66 Canal Flooding points, and 25 points Closed with Sandbags. Sites with current, cloud-free VHR imagery available at the time of analysis were newly verified; sites lacking current imagery coverage or affected by cloud cover retain their most recently verified status from prior assessments. Heavy concentrations of open breakages and overflow points are observed along key agricultural districts including Beletweyne, Buloburde, Jowhar, and Balcad, extending south to Kurtunwarey and Sablaale. There is a need to close the open points and reinforce areas with weak river embankments to avoid loss of lives and livelihoods during the upcoming rainy season. Breakage analysis for the Juba River has not yet been released due to budgetary constraints; updates will follow as resources and satellite imagery become available.

PDF ·20 Aug 2026 ·7.64 MB

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Newsletter

SWALIM 2026 Quarter 2 Newsletter

The SWALIM Quarterly Newsletter – April–June 2026 highlights key activities, achievements and knowledge products delivered by FAO SWALIM during the second quarter of 2026. The issue covers Gu 2026 climate and drought monitoring, flood preparedness, the 2026 Riverine Area Land Cover Map covering 10.4 million hectares, drone-based watershed assessments in Puntland, nationwide Prosopis field data collection, and SWALIM’s water, land and climate information platforms. The newsletter showcases how SWALIM’s data, analysis and information services are supporting evidence-based decision-making, climate resilience, water management, food security and sustainable land management across Somalia.

PDF ·16 Aug 2026 ·2.46 MB

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Ground water

Groundwater Monitoring Update June 2026

The Somalia Groundwater Status Update, issued on 30 July 2026 by Somali Water and Land Information Management (SWALIM), presents the latest assessment of groundwater conditions across Somalia based on weekly monitoring of strategic boreholes and data from telemetric groundwater monitoring stations. In June 2026, 608 strategic boreholes were monitored, of which 578 were functioning and 30 were non-functioning, resulting in an overall functionality rate of approximately 95%. Pump failure was the leading cause of borehole malfunction, accounting for 50% of reported failures, followed by power supply and main rising pipe issues. The bulletin also examines borehole usage, water prices, groundwater-level trends, and electrical conductivity across different regions. The bulletin reviews the implications of the 2026 Gu rainfall season for groundwater recharge, highlighting significant rainfall deficits in northern Somalia and comparatively near-normal rainfall in much of south-central Somalia. It also provides a groundwater outlook for the Hagaa/Karan season (July–September 2026), when increased reliance on groundwater is expected as surface-water availability declines. The update concludes with priority actions focused on maintaining and rehabilitating strategic boreholes, restoring non-operational telemetric stations, strengthening groundwater-level and water-quality monitoring, and integrating groundwater information with seasonal climate forecasting and drought early-warning systems. These measures are intended to support proactive, climate-resilient groundwater management and timely humanitarian and development interventions.

PDF ·16 Jul 2026 ·1.4 MB

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Rainfall forecast

Somalia Rainfall Forecast – Issued 10 June 2026

The NOAA GFS 7-day rainfall forecast for 9–15 June 2026 (Figure 5) indicates predominantly dry conditions across most of Somalia during the coming week, consistent with the onset of the Hagaa dry inter-season. Dry conditions will dominate across central Somalia, including Galmudug, Mudug, Galgaduud, most of Hiraan, Bakool, and the interior of Bay, Gedo, Middle Juba, and Lower Juba. Light rains of less than 50 mm are likely over central parts of Togdhee and Sanaag and the southern coastal strip — including Lower Juba, Middle Juba coastal margins, Lower Shabelle, and Banadir. The light rainfall of less than 30 mm may occur from Indian Ocean maritime moisture convergence. Dry conditions are expected to prevail across most other parts of the country. Dry conditions are also likely over the nearby catchments of both Juba and Shabelle Rivers — in Ethiopia adjacent to the Somalia border and within Somalia itself. Over the uppermost Ethiopian catchments, light rainfall of less than 50 mm is forecast. These amounts are however insufficient to generate meaningful river recharge within Somalia within the forecast period.

PDF ·10 Jun 2026 ·1.97 MB

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Newsletter

SWALIM Newsletter for Jan-Mar 2026

The Newsletter highlights SWALIM’s key activities and contributions during the first quarter of the year, a period marked by worsening drought conditions following the poor 2025 Deyr rains and the continuation of harsh Jilaal conditions. The newsletter presents SWALIM’s continued support to early warning, preparedness, and operational decision-making through drought monitoring, climate analysis, river monitoring, flood advisories, and field-based validation. Key highlights include: Strengthened drought and flood early warning through CDI analyses, climate updates, river monitoring products, and the Gu 2026 Seasonal Climate Outlook. Capacity-building initiatives on impact-based flood forecasting, anticipatory action, early warning systems, and land and crop suitability assessment. Updated river breakage assessments along the Juba and Shabelle rivers to support flood preparedness and risk reduction. Progress on Somalia’s Land Cover Reference System, Prosopis mapping, and strategic borehole monitoring. Insights from the Gu 2026 National Climate Outlook Forum, which emphasized that the season should be treated as a stabilization window rather than a full recovery season.

PDF ·01 Jun 2026 ·2.42 MB

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